Who Will be Top 5 of the Salem/CSPI Forecasting Tournament Leaderboards?
17
47
resolved Aug 2

https://www.cspicenter.com/p/introducing-the-salemcspi-forecasting?s=r&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

At the end of the Salem/CSPI Forecasting Tournament, this market resolves 20% each of the users at the top 5 spots of the leaderboards.

https://salemcenter.manifold.markets/leaderboards

My related market for first place: https://manifold.markets/SneakySly/who-will-be-top-of-the-salemcspi-fo

Close date updated to 2023-07-31 11:59 pm

Close date updated to 2023-08-01 11:59 pm

Get แน€200 play money

๐Ÿ… Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1แน€118
2แน€113
3แน€10
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Top 5 is out! Congrats everyone.

answered
@JosiahNeeley

@BionicD0LPH1N Can't bet no ๐Ÿ˜ญ

answered
@mark
bought แน€10

@ussgordoncaptain This wasn't on the list even though he's one of the current top 5

answered
@Ben
bought แน€10

@ussgordoncaptain The Ben is @ben on CSPI but doesn't appear to have a name on manifold

@ussgordoncaptain They're also on here but the handle is too short for the autocomplete: https://manifold.markets/Ben. But this market is now in a bit of a weird position since his handle used to be blatlas at the start of the tournament. Same problem on this market:

ย 

I think we need a decree from @SneakySly on what the canonical answer is here.

answered
@ussgordoncaptain

@Sinclair currently barely top 10

answered
@ussgordoncaptain
bought แน€10

he wanted me to put "just some guy that lives in his mother's basement" as the answer, but this would not sufficiently distinguish him

answered
@AdrianKelly
answered
@1941159478
answered
@1941159478

@Adam Or I can do it!

answered
@1941159478

@Adam You should create a market so we can all short!

answered
@1941159478

@ahalekelly wish there was a way to short-sell this; it's currently giving the user 90% credence to remain in the top 5 which seems pretty ridiculous.