Will this tweet about whale communication stand up? | Manifold

Will this tweet about whale communication stand up?

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22

Ṁ5360

2091

5%

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https://twitter.com/mpopv/status/1732800286484464004

The tweet:

“We are literally going to see, in our lifetimes, world leaders stand on a dock and issue a formal apology to representatives of whalekind for centuries of genocide, and then hear them respond. This is a real thing you will actually observe, sooner than you think”

This market resolves YES if, within my lifetime (a healthy 39 year old American male non smoker), world leaders stand on a dock and issue a formal apology to representatives of whalekind for centuries of genocide, and then hear them respond.

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Reading Stephen Pinker's The Language Instinct is how I'm so sure that this will... wait, I'm just now noticing that this has no way to actually resolve NO? I maybe have regrets.

predicts NO

@dreev i mean i assume if lars dies someone will resolve it NO

@April Correct manifold staff will resolve NO when I kick the bucket. Might make some variants with a fixed expiration date so it’s not also a weird bet on like, my cholesterol levels. Just wanted to match the tweet.

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