Will an AI-generated script win an Oscar for Best Original Screenplay by 2030?
17
1kṀ1013
2031
5%
chance

This market resolves as "Yes" if, by the annual Academy Awards ceremony in 2030, a script generated primarily by artificial intelligence (AI) wins the Oscar for Best Original Screenplay. The AI's contribution to the script must be publicly acknowledged by the film's creators, production team, or in the official Oscars nomination and award announcements. Verification can come from credible news sources, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences' official communications, or direct statements from individuals involved in the film's production who are in a position to authoritatively confirm the AI's role.

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