Which of the following capabilities will AI have before 2030? [add your own]
12
398Ṁ4622030
97%
Audiobook narration indistinguishable from human
91%
Solve all fresh Sudoku puzzles >99% of the time (LLMs only)
73%
Consistently win games of "Diplomacy" against experienced players online
40%
Improvise and perform professional-level stand-up comedy routines
30%
Write a script to a prompt that is made into a "Certified Fresh" movie on Rotten Tomatoes
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Which "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
Will artificial superintelligence exist by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
31% chance
Will AI enable a successful conversation between a human and a member of a non-human species by the end of 2030?
78% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
70% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before the year 2030?
4% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2040?
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2030?
Which of the following breakthroughs will Deepmind achieve by 2030?
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
89% chance
Will AI wipe out AI before 2030?
6% chance