Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point in the future, a SpaceX Starship upper stage equipped with Raptor 2 engines is successfully caught upon return to Earth. A successful catch is defined as the upper stage being captured by the launch tower's mechanical arms, commonly referred to as "chopsticks," without causing significant damage to the vehicle or infrastructure. Verification of such an event will be based on official announcements from SpaceX or credible news sources reporting the successful catch.

This market will resolve to "No" if a Starship upper stage is launched with Raptor 3 or later engines before a Starship upper stage has landed, unless there is evidence that SpaceX plans to fly additional flights using Raptor V2 engines.