Will the UK's CPI inflation figure published on 20th December be below 4%?
34
161
638
resolved Dec 20
Resolved
YES

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest inflation figures at 7:00 UK time on Wednesday 20th December.

This includes the annual CPI number for the past 12 months.

Here are the last few readings (based on the month when the figures were released):

January 2023 - 10.5%

February 2023 - 10.1%

March 2023 - 10.4%

April 2023 - 10.1%

May 2023 - 8.7%

June 2023 - 8.7%

July 2023 - 7.9%

August 2023 - 6.8%

September 2023 - 6.7%

October 2023 - 6.7%

November 2023 - 4.6%

December 2023 - TBC

(The market will resolve to NO if the figure is exactly 4.0%)

Some other UK financial markets:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-monthly-gdp-figure-pub-1cb014f0b8cb

/SimonGrayson/will-the-bank-of-england-raise-the-a63a31cb1de3

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Inflation has come in at 3.9% - the market thought that this might be close but this is a mild surprise as the market was rating this as 20% to 30% until yesterday.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/dec/20/uk-inflation-cost-of-living-crisis

The new look inflation market for next month is here - now as an unlinked multiple choice rather than having more than one YES/NO market: