Given the enormous amount of hype about LK-99 in so many online spaces including Manifold, I have been very surprised to see the lack of coverage in most mainstream media.
As far as I can tell, at time of writing there has been no coverage at all of LK-99 in the Guardian, the Economist or the BBC.
Will the Guardian publish an article about LK-99 or the purported discovery of a room-temperature superconductor in the next week?
Other markets on the subject:
/SimonGrayson/will-the-bbc-news-site-publish-an-a
/SimonGrayson/will-the-guardian-publish-an-articl
/SimonGrayson/will-the-economist-publish-an-artic
Resolution criterea:
I will count any article which has been published on guardian.co.uk by 22:00 BST on Tuesday 8th August
The primary subject of the article must be the potential discovery of a room-temperature superconductor, the specific research and discussion around LK-99 or the reaction to it. An article debunking or dismissing the research or an article about how the whole thing has been a hoax would count, but an article which is primarily about something else but which has a passing mention of LK-99 or superconductors in general would not.
Hopefully there won't be any ambiguity (either they publish an article which is primarily about this subject or they don't), but just in case there is some level of subjectivity, I will not trade on this market.
1,000
3.00Still nothing on the Guardian’s site as far as I can see, so this market will resolve to NO unless they publish something in the next 15 minutes or someone is about to demonstrate that we’ve all missed something!
They didn’t publish anything within the week, but will they write about LK-99 by the end of the month?
Five days down, two days to go.
As far as I can see, still no mention of LK-99 or superconductors on the BBC or the Guardian.
The Economist have published a story about LK-99:
We're still waiting on the Guardian and the BBC to follow suit...
@NiallWeaver Yes it counts - so long as it appears on the Guardian.co.uk website as well.
Almost all Observer content appears on the Guardian site (usually sooner than you can get hold of a copy of the Observer on a Sunday), and it's the timing of when it's published on the site which counts for this market.