Since there was so much excitement around LK-99 on Manifold and in a lot of other online spaces, I was surprised to see the lack of mainstream media coverage of the alleged discovery and the attempts at replication.

I created these three markets on whether there would be coverage from the Economist, the BBC and the Guardian within a week. After all trading at around 90%, the Economist published an article and the other two look like they're going to resolve to NO:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-economist-publish-an-artic

/SimonGrayson/will-the-bbc-news-site-publish-an-a

/SimonGrayson/will-the-guardian-publish-an-articl

Will the Guardian publish an article on their website about LK-99 or the purported discovery of a room-temperature superconductor by the end of the month?

Resolution criterea:

• I will count any article which has been published on guardian.co.uk by 22:00 BST on Thursday 31st August

• Anything that's published in the print editions of the Guardian or the Observer will count if it is also published at any URL starting with guardian.co.uk (this covers almost all content published in the print editions - but it is the published date on the website which counts for this market)

• The primary subject of the article must be the potential discovery of a room-temperature superconductor, the specific research and discussion around LK-99 or the reaction to it. An article debunking or dismissing the research or an article about how the whole thing has been a hoax would count, but an article which is primarily about something else but which has a passing mention of LK-99 or superconductors in general would not.

• Hopefully there won't be any ambiguity (either they publish an article which is primarily about this subject or they don't), but just in case there is some level of subjectivity, I will not trade on this market.