Will 80% of the "gone dark" subreddits return by Monday 17th July
51
1kṀ20k
resolved Jul 17
Resolved
NO

Three weeks ago on 12th June, almost 9,000 subreddits went dark as a protest due to changes being proposed by Reddit.

We've had markets up on how long it will take 75% to come back up - we originally thought that this might happen within a few days but the rate of reopening slowed down futher and further and it was eventually hit on 3rd July.

/MP/will-the-subreddits-return-by-frida

/MP/will-subreddits-return-by-monday

/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits

/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits-3baa7207de33

/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits-1355726bd833

/SimonGrayson/will-75-of-the-gone-dark-subreddits-5462c36f8fe1

How much longer will it take to hit 80%?

This market will use the data at https://reddark.untone.uk/ as the resolution criterea. They are currently stating that "2207/8829 subreddits are currently dark" - 25%. If this figure ticks below 20%, the market resolves to YES.

The deadline is Monday 17th July at 21:00 UK time (the closing time of the market).

The next iteration of the market (with another three weeks to hit the magic number) is below:

Resolution notes:

  • If the main Reddark site is down or unavailable, we will use https://reddark.io/ as a backup. If both are unavailable, I will attempt to resolve to the spirt of the market (eg. resolving YES if the sites are taken down because the protest is over and everything is reopened, resolving NO if it is very clear that those sites would show that the subreddits are still dark if they were available) or N/A if it's not possible to do so.

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