UK General Election - which month in 2024 will it take place?
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Ṁ285resolved Jun 10
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3%
Before 2024
1.9%
January 2024
2%
February 2024
2%
March 2024
3%
April 2024
22%
May 2024
11%
June 2024
3%
July 2024
3%
August 2024
11%
September 2024
16%
October 2024
18%
November 2024
2%
December 2024
2%
Not before 2025
A General Election is widely expected to take place in the UK in 2024.
While it is possible that we could face early electionns in 2023 or that the goverment could hold out for a Christmas campaign and a January 2025 eleciton (and there are options for this in the market), this is seen as pretty unlikely.
Which month will see the General Election take place?
This market applies to the main voting day and if we see a repeat of 1974 where they had two General Elections in a year, this market only applies to the first General Election to take place after the creation of this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@gorilla tag With the impending release of "real" multiple-choice, I intend to re-create the market using the new format.