Resolves YES if, by 23:59 ET on Dec 31, 2027, Meta Platforms makes a real money prediction market product (the app reported by NYT as internally codenamed "Arena," or any successor/rebrand) publicly available to general users in at least one market, via official launch or public beta. Users should be able stake and win real money or real-money-equivalent value (cash, crypto, redeemable credits). Sweepstakes or promotional models count as long as they pay out real-money value. Pure play-money, points-only, or free-to-play versions with no cash-equivalent payout do not count.

Waitlist, internal-only test or unreleased announcement does not count.

Resolves NO otherwise.