Props about Meta's Prediction Markets ("Arena")

Question

Except where noted:

for this first batch, all resolve when they happen or at end 2026 (if this extends for whatever reason, existing answers will be edited to reflect their original dates and new answers will then be subject to the extension)

default is to resolve NO rather than N/A

Feel free to add more. Junk answers may be N/A'd as usual.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Play Money, followed by Limited Release by end 2026 and Integrated into Facebook app are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Jun 23, 2026).

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