(When) will Biden drop out of the 2024 presidential race?

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Ṁ25k

resolved Jul 21

ALL

100%98%

Between Super Tuesday and Dem Convention

0.0%

Before first Dem primary

0.1%

Between first Dem primary and Super Tuesday

0.4%

Between Dem Convention and Election Day

1.5%

Remains in race through Election Day

Drop out = Officially abandoning his campaign for reelection for any reason.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ750 Between Super Tuesda... YES

@Simon74fe time to resolve?

If it's during convention, how would this resolve?

@AnonUser Would probably resolve it 50/50

I made a question to separate out that 91% chance a bit further, eg will he make it to inauguration?

Does death count as dropping out?

@mariopasquato For this market yes

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