The current question title "Should Donald Trump drop out of the 2024 Presidential Election?" strikes me as normative and therefore non-sensical for a prediction market. How about changing it?

Resolves to YES under following conditions:

*He does not drop out, runs and loses the election

*He drops out of his own accord

*He gets kicked out (legally)

@PeteOh Resolves Yes if he simply loses the election? This is extremely misleading.

@PeteOh just a straight arbitrage with will he be president.

1 - Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?

@HillaryClinton It’s not. If he loses the election, he should have dropped out in actuality.