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MANIFOLD
SPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
20
Ṁ1kṀ2.4k
Sep 6
80%
chance
7

Resolves "Yes" if SPD receives at least 5.00% of the party list votes and makes it into the Landtag

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Elections: World
Germany
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Two recent Saxony-Anhalt polls put SPD at 6%, above the 5% threshold, with the election not occurring until September 6; polling error remains the main risk.

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