If Trump/sitting President refuses Supreme Court order, what happens next?
15
1kṀ19242026
79%
>100K protest in DC
39%
Impeachment by House (>50%) but not Senate (>66%)
35%
Protest is met with lethal violence (1+ death)
15%
Martial Law declared
13%
Trump loses power
10%
Impeachment by House (>50%) and Senate (>66%)
7%
Civil War
5%
Military coup
If this question: /ajtalas/will-a-sitting-us-president-refuse resolves YES during Trump's second term, what happens within 1 year of the court order?
If Trump is replaced through legal means by Vance before, and Vance ignores court orders, this question still applies.
I will defer to other markets for resolution if there's a reasonable one.
I will not bet in this market.
See also:
/Siebe/if-republicans-lose-the-2028-presid
/Siebe/will-the-courts-strike-down-trumps
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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