Who will win a Nobel Prize before 2030? [Unlinked free response]
18
1.6kṀ1440
2030
98.6%
Demis Hassabis
96%
Daron Acemoglu
61%
Salman Rushdie
53%
David Deutsch
52%
Peter Zoller
52%
Gilles Brassard
48%
Charles Henry Bennett
47%
Olga Botner
46%
Peter Shor
45%
Robert S Langer
45%
Susumu Kitagawa
41%
Can Xue
41%
Krzysztof Matyjaszewski
41%
Jun Ye
41%
Elizaveta 'Monetochka' Gyrdymova
41%
Ed Boyden
36%
Chi-Huey Wong
35%
Omar Farha
35%
William Jorgesen
35%
Omar M. Yaghi

Any laureate who wins a Nobel prize will resolve YES at the time of winning. The others will resolve NO by the market close. Only prizes received after 2023 (when this market opened) count.

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