Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Social Democratic Party (center-right party) leads the next government in Portugal
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https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 70% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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