Will @MarcusAbramovitch make a single Manifold trade or market in 2026?
1
14
70
2025
47%
chance

This question is essentially one about retention.

Resolves YES if @MarcusAbramovitch still active on the platform this market is on in 2026, Resolves NO if there is no activity from @MarcusAbramovitch in calendar year 2026 on said platform.

Market Closes July 1, 2025. Bet minimally, this market is a moderately long forecast and not going to make you any profit once you discount time.

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