Will @MarcusAbramovitch make a single Manifold trade or market in 2026?
Basic
1
Ṁ202025
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is essentially one about retention.
Resolves YES if @MarcusAbramovitch still active on the platform this market is on in 2026, Resolves NO if there is no activity from @MarcusAbramovitch in calendar year 2026 on said platform.
Market Closes July 1, 2025. Bet minimally, this market is a moderately long forecast and not going to make you any profit once you discount time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Lex Fridman create a market on Manifold by the end of 2024?
16% chance
Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
39% chance
Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
40% chance
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
69% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?
71% chance
Will Bryan Caplan create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
39% chance
Which Manifold User will create the most markets in 2024?
Who will be the top trader on Manifold at the end of 2024?
Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?
57% chance