This question is essentially one about retention.
Resolves YES if @MarcusAbramovitch still active on the platform this market is on in 2026, Resolves NO if there is no activity from @MarcusAbramovitch in calendar year 2026 on said platform.
Market Closes July 1, 2025. Bet minimally, this market is a moderately long forecast and not going to make you any profit once you discount time.
This api call returns a trade in 2026 [pacific time]. if it returns a non-empty array the market resolves YES. https://api.manifold.markets/v0/bets?username=MarcusAbramovitch&limit=1&afterTime=1767254400000&beforeTime=1798790400000
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ0 |
Resolves yes once this api call returns a non-empty array:
The last market he made was on December 19, 2024, which is a little over 6 months ago, and he's only made a few bets since, so I'm starting to think he might have just dropped out.