The First Tesla with Unsupervised FSD will...
💎
Premium
5
Ṁ2856
2026
37%
Be a Two Seater.
68%
Have a screen in the back row.
56%
Run on a AI4/HW4 computer.
44%
Run on a AI5 computer.
47%
Have a front facing bumper camera.
72%
Have a steering wheel.

Background

Tesla is working towards unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities, and may deliver the feature as early as 2025.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the specifications of the first Tesla vehicle model which features unsupervised FSD. Resolution will occur when the first Unsupervised FSD vehicle is delivered: meaning it is available to the public, and not merely running on a car owned by Tesla or Tesla staff.

Each option will resolve independently:

  • "Be a Two Seater" resolves YES if the first Tesla model with unsupervised FSD is a two-seat vehicle, NO otherwise

  • "Have a screen in the back row" resolves YES if the vehicle is a two row vehicle which includes a rear passenger display screen, NO otherwise

  • "Run on a AI4/HW4 computer" resolves YES if the vehicle uses Tesla's Hardware 4 computing platform, NO otherwise

  • "Run on a AI5 computer" resolves YES if the vehicle uses Tesla's (AI) Hardware 5 computing platform, NO otherwise

  • "Have a front facing bumper camera" resolves YES if the vehicle includes a front facing camera mounted in or near the front bumper, NO otherwise

  • "Have a steering wheel" resolves YES if the vehicle has a built in steering wheel or includes a steering wheel as the default option, NO otherwise.

Market deadline will be extended if Unsupervised FSD is not delivered in 2025.

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Ṁ1,000
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S3.00
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