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MANIFOLD
Will any G7 nation announce formal retaliatory tariffs against the US by March 2, 2026?
13
Ṁ300Ṁ814
resolved Mar 3
Resolved
NO
  • This market resolves to YES if the government of a G7 nation (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, or the UK) officially announces a new, specific tariff or trade barrier on US goods in direct response to the new 15% proposal.

  • It resolves to NO if no such formal announcement is made by 11:59 PM ET on March 2, 2026.

  • "Vague threats" or "statements of concern" do not count; the announcement must specify a policy intent or a list of goods.

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