Who will be the new Ontario Liberal leader? | Manifold

Who will be the new Ontario Liberal leader?

7

Ṁ1.3kṀ3.3k

Nov 20

0.6%

Nate Erskine-Smith

5%

Eric Lombardi

1.3%

Dylan Marando

40%

Navdeep Bains

27%

Lee Fairclough

0.5%

Rob Cerjanec

24%

Stephanie Bowman

2%

Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the person who is officially declared the new permanent leader of the Ontario Liberal Party following the leadership election scheduled for November 21, 2026. The resolution will be based on the official announcement by the Ontario Liberal Party (https://ontarioliberal.ca/).

If, for any reason, the leadership election does not take place on the scheduled date or is cancelled, this market will resolve based on the next permanent leader appointed or elected through the party's official process.

Market context

Elections: World

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bought Ṁ750 NO

Rob is out according to email I got.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Nate is out https://www.thestar.com/politics/provincial/nate-erskine-smith-rules-out-bid-for-provincial-liberal-leadership-still-considering-run-for-city-office/article_988e6b2d-dfe3-4cf6-96de-92f288e53204.html

Nate Erskine-Smith rules out bid for provincial Liberal leadership, still considering run for city office

On Thursday, Erskine-Smith said he’s ruled out provincial ambitions after losing the Scarborough Southwest Liberal nomination. “Having gone through what I went through in Scarborough, it just doesn’t make sense,” he said.

reposted

Eric Lombardi keeps fighting with people on Twitter. Which is a bold strategy, but I don't think that will get him votes, lol.

I'm hearing rumours that Josh Matlow is going to run. I'd much rather he stay at the municipal level!

I really underestimated how controversial Nate is. My bubble has failed me again.

I've never heard of half of these people and yet more keep coming out of the woodwork

@kmajc Lee Fairclough! https://www.thestar.com/politics/provincial/toronto-mpp-jumps-into-ontario-liberal-leadership-race/article_13f883c7-fa64-4cd6-800d-9a780c172311.html

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