Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2024 with nuclear strikes?
14
250Ṁ744resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2023-Dec-31:
I haven't heard of anything like this happening. I intend to resolve "No" in a few hours, unless I hear about something dramatic soon.
Mini-series:
North Korea before 2024
North Korea before 2025
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ25 | |
| 2 | Ṁ8 | |
| 3 | Ṁ5 | |
| 4 | Ṁ5 | |
| 5 | Ṁ3 |
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
1% chance
Will North Korea kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
3% chance
Will Russia kill 1,000+ people before 2026 with nuclear strikes?
4% chance
Will nuclear weapons cause at least [1, 1000, 100000] deaths in 2025?
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
1% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
18% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2050?
44% chance
Will a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2030?
22% chance
Will any non-state group detonate a nuclear weapon, successfully killing at least 1 person, before 2040?
11% chance