Will at least 67,000 people in the U.K. die from nuclear war in 2022?
Basic
28
Ṁ1360
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
In the event of needing a body count, I'll refer to whichever estimates are available. If none are available I'll try to make a reasonable guess. For semi-attributable and delayed-attributable (e.g. some people starving due to infrastructure loss) I'll try to make inclusions if it seems obvious those deaths would not have happened without the nuclear exchange.
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
I think nuclear war happens on average more than once in a hundred years.
I think orobability of wrong resolution is above 0.2%.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules