Will at least 67,000 people in the U.K. die from nuclear war in 2022?

28

160Ṁ1360

resolved Jan 1

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

In the event of needing a body count, I'll refer to whichever estimates are available. If none are available I'll try to make a reasonable guess. For semi-attributable and delayed-attributable (e.g. some people starving due to infrastructure loss) I'll try to make inclusions if it seems obvious those deaths would not have happened without the nuclear exchange.

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I think nuclear war happens on average more than once in a hundred years.

I think orobability of wrong resolution is above 0.2%.

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