Will UFOs be a partisan issue by 2025?
Plus
18
Ṁ1488Jan 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if, on Jan 1st 2025, I see questions about "what are UFOs" as being a partisan issue.
As resolution may be somewhat subjective, I won't be betting in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The republican party has unambiguously become the more conspiracy-friendly part in recent years. I think it's pretty clear that they'll be ok the side of "it's aliens and the government is hiding it" and democrats will be on the side of "let's trust the scientists and other credentialed people".
It's more a question of the intensity of the arguing and the timeline over which it develops.
Related questions
Related questions
By 2025, over 50% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
30% chance
By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
14% chance
Will UFOs be recognized as a culture-bound illness/mass hysteria before 2050?
37% chance
Will we know interdimensional UFOs are real before 2026?
7% chance
Will new UFO footage emerge - and be shared on the frontpage of major news sites - by the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will the U.S. government admit to having engaged in either a UFO coverup or a disinformation campaign before 2025?
9% chance
Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
35% chance
What % of respondents to this question will believe "UFOs are alien spacecraft" on January 1, 2030?
44
Will any whistleblower face criminal charges for disclosing UFO information before 2025?
10% chance
Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?
34% chance