If Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 French election will more that 5% of French muslims leave within three years?
6
Ṁ1kṀ8.3k2030
9%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Provoked by this article https://www.thelocal.fr/20261016/one-in-five-french-people-would-consider-leaving-if-le-pen-wins-election. It claims that over 40% of French would consider leaving if she won. If there seems to be a decline of more than five percent in the French Muslim population of more than 5 percent resolves yes. If Marine Le Pen does not win will resolve NA.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?
47% chance
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
Marine Le Pen Will be the next president of France.
49% chance
Who will be the next president of France after Macron?
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election
47% chance
Who will win the 2027 french presidential election
Will Marine Le Pen be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
93% chance
Marine Le Pen legally barred from running for French President in 2027?
3% chance
Who will represent the center in the future french presidential election in 2027
Will the next president of France be the result of the 2027 planned elections?
97% chance
