Will 30-year treasury yields go above 6% before 2027?
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Ṁ1kṀ879Dec 31
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I will use this data series to resolve: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/dgs30
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Market was 42% when I bet NO. I have it around 25%. The 30-year was 5.60% on the latest FRED print, and its high this year is 5.67%. Getting above 6% means about 40 basis points more in under three months. That can happen, and the trend has been up, but recent daily moves make it less likely than not. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS30
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