U.S. 30 Year TIPS yield exceeds 4% before 2028?
8
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k2027
60%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 30-Year Constant Maturity" as reported by the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) goes above 4.00% at any point before January 1, 2028. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the daily data for series DFII30 available on the FRED website: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII30.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will 30-year treasury yields go above 7% at any point before 2027?
7% chance
Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
28% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?
86% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
75% chance
Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
40% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
92% chance
Will medium duration TIPS yields go below -1% again before 2060?
22% chance
Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?
30-year Treasury yield hits 5.6% during Trump's second term?
68% chance
30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028
30% chance