Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?
Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?
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Will Israel be held responsible for the war crimes its committed in Gaza?
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What timeline is this resolved on, and does it include "the singularity happens and AI imposes some form of consequences"
This one’s going to need some clearer resolution criteria.
Does an adverse ICC/ICJ finding count? What if the ruling isn’t enforced to a significant extent?
Would extrajudicial Palestinian retribution qualify?
Resolution criteria? What do you mean by "holding responsible"?
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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