Which of these NIAC Phase III missions will be executed before 2100?
Basic
4
Ṁ18
2100
15%
Diffractive Solar Sailing
12%
Cube-Sat Space Flight Test of a Neutrino Detector
20%
Direct Multipixel Imaging and Spectroscopy of an Exoplanet with a Solar Gravitational Lens Mission
28%
Robotic Technologies Enabling the Exploration of Lunar Pits
12%
Mini Bee Prototype to Demonstrate the Apis Mission Architecture and Optical Mining Technology
12%
None of the above

Diffractive Solar Sailing:

https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/spacetech/niac/2022/diffractive_solar_sailing/

Cube-Sat Space Flight Test of a Neutrino Detector:

https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/spacetech/niac/2021_Phase_I/Cube_Sat_Space_Flight_Test_of_a_Neutrino_Detector/

Direct Multipixel Imaging and Spectroscopy of an Exoplanet with a Solar Gravitational Lens Mission:

https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/spacetech/niac/2020_Phase_I_Phase_II/Direct_Multipixel_Imaging_and_Spectroscopy_of_an_Exoplanet/

Robotic Technologies Enabling the Exploration of Lunar Pits:

https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/spacetech/niac/2019_Phase_I_Phase_II/robotic_technologies-enabling-the-exploration-of-lunar-pits/

Mini Bee Prototype to Demonstrate the Apis Mission Architecture and Optical Mining Technology:

https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/spacetech/niac/2019_Phase_I_Phase_II/Mini_Bee_Prototype/

It does not have to be exactly the same proposal for one of the missions to be considered "executed", but the NIAC funding should directly lead to the mission being executed and it should accomplish very similar objectives.

The market will resolve to one or multiple in 2100.

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