Will Donald Trump still be alive on January 1st, 2024?
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Ṁ3.3kresolved Jan 1
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Continuing my series of one-month markets on Donald Trump's survival.
As usual, I will not bet on my own market.
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Relevant: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
Probability of dying before turning 78 given that an American male is 77: 0.049152
I wonder how easy it is to find more fine-grained data
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