Will Ukraine default on any of it's sovereign national debt, to any creditor, within calendar year 2025?
A default is defined as not being able to pay debt by the time it's due, or not being able to pay interest when it's due (unless specifically negotiated a delay to those payments).
Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Federal Debt Definition
Federal sovereign debt means debt issued by a country's national (federal) government.
Debt issued by provincial, local, or private entities is not included.
The term federal is not related to the form of government or concepts like federalization.
1,000@hidetzugu Federal sovereign debt refers to a country's national debt at the federal level (as opposed to provincial, local, or private). It's not a reference to a form of government.
@SCM i get your intent and placed my bet with it in mind but you are just wrong on terminology. The word you are looking for is "National". As in here is a plot of ukraine's national debt:
https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/ukraine/national-government-debt
@hidetzugu Ok, to avoid any confusion, I replaced the term "federal" with "national" in the question.