Will Ukraine default on any of it's sovereign national debt, to any creditor, within calendar year 2025?

A default is defined as not being able to pay debt by the time it's due, or not being able to pay interest when it's due (unless specifically negotiated a delay to those payments).

• Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Federal Debt Definition

  • Federal sovereign debt means debt issued by a country's national (federal) government.

  • Debt issued by provincial, local, or private entities is not included.

  • The term federal is not related to the form of government or concepts like federalization.