Will Ukraine default on any of it's national government debt in 2025?

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Dec 31

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Will Ukraine default on any of it's sovereign national debt, to any creditor, within calendar year 2025?

A default is defined as not being able to pay debt by the time it's due, or not being able to pay interest when it's due (unless specifically negotiated a delay to those payments).

Update 2025-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on Federal Debt Definition
- Federal sovereign debt means debt issued by a country's national (federal) government.
- Debt issued by provincial, local, or private entities is not included.
- The term federal is not related to the form of government or concepts like federalization.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

Now, not to win on a technicality but... when do you expect Ukraine to federalize?

@hidetzugu Federal sovereign debt refers to a country's national debt at the federal level (as opposed to provincial, local, or private). It's not a reference to a form of government.

@SCM i get your intent and placed my bet with it in mind but you are just wrong on terminology. The word you are looking for is "National". As in here is a plot of ukraine's national debt:

https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/ukraine/national-government-debt