Will xAI release an LLM with BIG-Bench score as good as GPT-4 Turbo before the end of 2024?
Plus
49
Ṁ26kDec 31
76%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
xAI is Elon Musk's new AI startup, founded in Mar 2023. It's rumored that they have already bought thousands of GPUs. Musk probably has the capital and charisma to poach top engineers. https://www.theverge.com/2023/4/14/23684005/elon-musk-new-ai-company-x
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
https://www.ft.com/content/19cce4b5-b2dd-4c1e-a109-b500e504dbb6
Related questions
Related questions
Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?
19% chance
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
44% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by the end of 2024?
68% chance
Will xAI develop a more capable LLM than GPT-5 by 2026
59% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?
14% chance
Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?
85% chance
Will there be a OpenAI LLM known as GPT-4.5? by 2033
72% chance
Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?
13% chance
Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?
9% chance
Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?
53% chance