How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS)
12
1kṀ5652030
4%
1 week
15%
1 month
53%
6 months
10%
Never (ie OpenAI releases a better model before anyone else can)
5%
3 months
12%
Inspired by this xeet https://twitter.com/chheplo/status/1762169694516301944
How much time will pass between a non-OpenAI LLM being released (like Gemini, Mixtral, etc) that beats GPT4, and OpenAI releasing their next LLM (GPT4.5, or GPT5, etc)?
Only the largest answer without going over will be chosen. So no saying 1 second and expecting to get all the mana.
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@Johne5ee I assume it resolves if the next OpenAI LLM is released without a competitor beating GPT-4
@bohaska Correct intepretation, although I could have phrased it better. I'll see if I can add a clarification
@SarM I'm not the creator, but if I were, I would say Claude 3.5 Sonnet definitely beat GPT-4, and that o1 preview definitely beats Sonnet
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