Will Starship Flight 12 Achieve All Flight Goals?

Question

https://www.spacex.com/launches/starship-flight-12

All flight goals is defined by the list of events in the “Flight Test Timeline” at the link above. Will resolve yes if all events happen as listed.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 59% chance (1 traders, as of May 16, 2026).

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