Will John Carmack seriously engage with the alignment community by the end of 2023?
97
2.9kṀ67k
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO

Discussing alignment concerns with people such as

  • Paul Christiano

  • Richard Ngo

  • Buck Shlegeris

for more than 10 hours in total would count. I also would count spending around 2x this amount of time reading and/or writing takes about whether or not alignment research is important, how bad/good speeding up capabilities is, or similar topics. I'm only counting targeted efforts here - reading less wrong for comparable amounts of time without focusing on ataining better views about this questions doesn't count. I'm counting such efforts from the start of 2022 onward.

This will be based on my best judgement.

Resolves to positive whenever I am >95% confident this has occured or resolves one month after the end of 2023 to my best guess at the correct answer. (This includes me attaining sufficent confidence that this engagement occured prior to the market being created, see above about 2022 start time).

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