
Conditional on not having died from unaligned AGI, I consider myself a full time alignment researcher by the end of 2030
16
1kṀ5502030
34%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I suspect that the primary mechanism by which this market resolves to NO would be either burnout or running out of funding. However, do not be limited to these mechanisms when trading.
Relevant market: https://manifold.markets/AlanaXiang/will-i-consider-myself-a-fulltime-a
I do not intend to buy shares in this market (either YES or NO).
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