Conditional on not having died from unaligned AGI, I consider myself a full time alignment researcher by the end of 2030 | Manifold

Conditional on not having died from unaligned AGI, I consider myself a full time alignment researcher by the end of 2030

16

1kṀ550

2030

34%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

I suspect that the primary mechanism by which this market resolves to NO would be either burnout or running out of funding. However, do not be limited to these mechanisms when trading.

Relevant market: https://manifold.markets/AlanaXiang/will-i-consider-myself-a-fulltime-a

I do not intend to buy shares in this market (either YES or NO).

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unlikely given it'll be fully solved by then if we're not dead

@L Short timelines 😨

predictedNO

@Alana yeah read through my current portfolio to get a sense of how short

Oh no I forgot I'm not supposed to buy shares in this market.

@AlanaXiang Sold

Conditional on not having died from unaligned AGI, I consider myself a full time alignment researcher by the end of 2030, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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