https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2007088281507488174
Resolves YES if at any point before EOY 2026, the articles available on Grokipedia exceed the amount of articles on Wikipedia's English site.
Resolves NO otherwise.
In the unlikely event that either Grokipedia or Wikipedia shuts down, this market will be marked as N/A.
Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Grokipedia and English Wikipedia have exactly the same number of articles at any point before EOY 2026, this does not count as surpassing and the market will resolve NO.
Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Article counts will be determined using exact numbers unless the exact count is unavailable, in which case the creator will use the most accurate count available.
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@Quroe We will be using the exact numbers unless for some reason said number is unavailable, which then I'll try to find as accurate of a count as I can.
For the October–January period, I was able to find three reliable snapshots. The remaining weeks are extrapolated, so the figures shouldn’t be treated as real data. There was likely a jump around the release of v0.2, meaning the actual graph would probably show spikes rather than a smooth straight line.