Will Nonlinear post its response by EOY?
36
329
650
resolved Dec 12
Resolved
YES

On October 9, Kat Woods responded to a question about when Nonlinear will respond to the investigation by Ben Pace. She wrote that Nonlinear are "aiming to get this done in the next few weeks" but also noted reasons for slowness.

On November 13, Kat Woods wrote, "Still working on it full time! I'd guess we'll publish in the next 1-4 weeks. I really hope it is sooner. I want to finish this more than anybody."

There's now a market about whether the response will be posted by December 13.

This market asks: will it be posted by end of year?

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predicted NO

why is this so high? base rate on nonlinear’s accuracy about its own ability to complete tasks is awful

bought Ṁ15 of NO

@saulmunn there's low liquidity in this market

bought Ṁ50 of YES

@saulmunn I think you're falling for a sort of anthropic bias

bought Ṁ10 of YES

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