What will I do before December 2027?
58%
Have sex with a cisgender person
49%
Get a job
28%
Go 14 days without making a bet on Manifold
23%
Be hospitalized
20%
Willfully do a recreational drug other than caffeine, alcohol, marijuana, or nicotine
13%
Fail to vote in an American election that I'm eligible to vote in
11%
Leave the USA
10%
Get a STD (and be aware of it)
8%
Willfully eat an animal product (excluding human and excluding lab-grown meat)
5%
Vote for a Republican in a general election (excluding nonpartisan and unopposed elections)
1%
Rob a Baskin-Robbins ran by a Rob in robes
Resolved
YES
Tell someone to commit suicide on Manifold (resolves YES)

Feel free to ask for clarification or context on any answer.

I am a 20 year old transfem enby. I am currently a sophomore at Missouri State University studying information technology.

What will I do after this market page's creation and before December 2027?

Contexts:

  • Have sex with a cisgender person - I am trans and strongly prefer to have sex with other trans people, but I'm not completely opposed to having sex with cis people if I find a cool one. I'm fairly open to casual hookups and have had sex with 2 different (trans) people so far this year.

  • Willfully eat an animal product (excluding human and excluding lab-grown meat) - I am vegan for animal rights reasons. I currently don't think it's ethical to eat animal products. This resolving YES would likely require a shift in my ethical beliefs. (Human is excluded because I sometimes cook with my own blood and milk.)

  • Fail to vote in an American election that I'm eligible to vote in - I consider myself pretty politically engaged, so I think this is pretty unlikely.

  • Vote for a Republican in a general election (excluding nonpartisan and unopposed elections) - I consider myself a committed progressive and I strongly dislike the Republican Party.

  • Willfully do a recreational drug other than alcohol, marijuana, or nicotine - I'm pretty scared of drugs and I'm disinclined to them at the moment.

  • Get a job - College keeps my plate pretty full and I don't intend to actively search for jobs unless an opportunity presents itself to me.

  • Be hospitalized - I don't think I do many risky things. My current medical issues include being overweight, and lifelong balance issues that I walk with a cane to mitigate.

  • Leave the USA - I don't have much money, I don't have a reason at the moment to do so, and I'm hesitant to leave or enter the USA right now due to Trump's handling of border issues.

  • Update 2025-04-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the Get a STD (and be aware of it) answer:

    • The creator notes they donate plasma frequently.

    • This means they are frequently tested for HIV, Hepatitis B, and Syphilis, increasing the likelihood of awareness for these specific STDs.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the Willfully do a recreational drug other than alcohol, marijuana, or nicotine answer:

    • Caffeine does not count.

    • Painkillers count if used recreationally, but do not count if used primarily for their intended medical purposes.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the Willfully eat an animal product (excluding human and excluding lab-grown meat) answer:

    • For the purposes of this market's exclusion, puppygirls count as human.

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding the Fail to vote in an American election that I'm eligible to vote in answer:

    • This includes all American elections the creator is eligible to vote in, including local elections.

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Fail to vote in an American election that I'm eligible to vote in - I consider myself pretty politically engaged, so I think this is pretty unlikely.

There are so many random local elections, do you plan to vote in all of those?

@nikki yep. I live and vote in Springfield, Missouri if anyone wants to look up upcoming elections

@Robincvgr can you define human? do puppygirls count as human?

@256 strictly for the purposes of this market, puppygirls count as human

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Robincvgr i see, thanks

bought Ṁ894 YES

"Tell someone to commit suicide on Manifold"

Hey, you can resolve that one.

Edit: thanks for removing the comment!

@redcat wtf, robin I sure hope that was a joke

bought Ṁ20 NO

t4c in this economy?

@Robincvgr I feel like the part about needing to know will make this more reliant on your own personal factors than actually catching something. Eg. frequency of screening, symptom knowledge, propensity to investigate symptoms, and odds of denial (whether through misattribution or simply deciding you’d rather not know)

@GleamingRhino indeed

i do donate plasma pretty often which means i'm pretty frequently getting tested for hiv, hep b, and syphilis at least

bought Ṁ10 YES

Summer job?

@HillaryClinton not planning to seek one out next summer, but if a good opportunity presents itself, maybe

bought Ṁ569 NO

@TheAllMemeingEye is Rob wearing the robes or am I?

@Robincvgr either works

This will 100% happen, y'all are foolish to bet against it

Willfully do a recreational drug other than alcohol, marijuana, or nicotine - I'm pretty scared of drugs and I'm disinclined to them at the moment.

Which factors make you scared of other relatively weak drugs such as magic mushrooms and nitrous oxide aka laughing gas yet ok with these ones that do still have significant risks?

@TheAllMemeingEye I've never done nicotine, and I've only been drunk once and I've only been high on marijuana once and I didn't particularly like either experience. I excluded them mostly because they're on the "very socially acceptable" side of substances these days

I just dislike having my mental state altered, as well as being put into states that I can't get out of quickly.

Nitrous oxide isn't really a big deal in those ways, but I still consider it a bad idea to get "cheap" euphoria like that so will probably avoid it.

@Robincvgr thanks for explaining 👍

@Robincvgr do you count caffeine and painkillers as drugs for this?

@TheAllMemeingEye caffeine doesn't count

painkillers, yes if used recreationally but no if primarily used for intended purposes

bought Ṁ15 YES

@Robincvgr LSD, MDMA, and psilocybin are sometimes worth doing, for some people, in some circumstances. (Usually not all at the same time, though, to be clear.)

@snazzlePop

(Usually not all at the same time, to be clear.)

lmfao

bought Ṁ5 NO

Human is excluded because I sometimes cook with my own blood and milk

👀 Say whaaaaaat?

@TheAllMemeingEye a few months ago i made some sanguinaccio dolce with my own blood and my own breastmilk! it was really good

@TheAllMemeingEye @snazzlePop

i dont have a picture of the finished product but here's me after tossing everything in the pot waiting for the chocolate to melt (there's not a ton because i was having trouble drawing blood from myself)

@Robincvgr while unconventional, arguably using one's own breast milk in place of dairy is a pretty badass vegan idea, but BLOOD? I recall an xkcd what-if mentioning that drinking human blood is so unpleasant it often leads to immediate vomiting, why do it?

@TheAllMemeingEye Blood tastes perfectly good as a small part of something or prepared in a certain way. Animal blood is not that uncommon of an ingredient in various dishes in various cuisines. Your own blood or another willing human's blood strikes me as a perfectly sensible ethical substitute.

@TheAllMemeingEye

why do it?

Witchcraft.

Ritual.

Performance art.

@Robincvgr

https://what-if.xkcd.com/98/

Whether there's any alcohol in it or not, drinking 14 glasses of blood wouldn't be fun. There's not a huge amount of medical literature on the subject, but anecdotal evidence from online forum posts suggests that any normal person who tries to drink more than about a pint of blood will vomit:

Ah ok looks like I underestimated the amount that causes bad stuff, a pint would be a lot to get through lol

@Robincvgr blood pancakes with lingonberries are to die for. Good for iron

bought Ṁ1 YES

@JussiVilleHeiskanen just eat iron filings, cut out the middleman

@TheAllMemeingEye one real reccommendation for the anemic is to cook with a rusty pan

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