Did Donald Trump grope a teenager?
82
1kṀ15kresolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if:
a video of Donald Trump groping a teenager is published, and I personally judge the video to be real, OR:
at least two of ABC, CBS, CNN, MSNBC, NBC News, the New York Times, USA Today, the Washington Post, Politico, and NPR report on allegations of Donald Trump groping a teenager, and I personally judge that the tone of the articles is at least as confident as "neutral on whether it happened or not".
Resolves NO if this does not happen by market close.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ961 | |
| 2 | Ṁ355 | |
| 3 | Ṁ355 | |
| 4 | Ṁ268 | |
| 5 | Ṁ127 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump or Elon call the other a pedophile first?
Will Hope Hicks accuse Trump of attempting to rape her while she worked in the White House?
2% chance
Will someone try to grab Donald Trump by his pussy/groin by EOY2028?
9% chance
Did Trump punch Elon?
6% chance
Will Donald Trump be found guilty of sexual assault by 2030?
28% chance
Will Barron Trump be accused of sexual harassment or sexual assault by more than 2 people by 2030?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump be, or claim he was, sexually assaulted in prison by the end of 2026?
4% chance
Will Donald Trump adopt and use his own hand gesture/salute?
8% chance
Will a child or grandchild of Donald J. Trump ever be President?
13% chance
Will a son of Donald Trump become President of the USA?
13% chance