Resolves YES if this election market resolves to JD Vance YES.
If said election market does not resolve to JD Vance YES, then I will generate a random integer between 1 and 100 inclusive using @FairlyRandom. If it turns out to be 11, this market resolves NO. Otherwise, this market resolves NA.
Market design inspired by this market.
1,000
3.00@Robincvgr your random number is: 31
Salt: a4iaswvxer, round: 4518217 (signature 93d06a869f0fa9fab2c5a740a8179a76918d7cbe6ba37634953b38ccdbd9b9c8f6c9260f8a60c249bc19254c5930356b09bbb208a11e98c15e933c0567ed2d4694b0d227dab120f66135d55f2ba8381ba5e2f385c0fbc52ab6079e0bf4b22778)
@Robincvgr you asked for a random integer between 1 and 100, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 4518215 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4518217, salt: a4iaswvxer.
@JoshuaPhillipsLivingReaso yes; the price of this market should be equal to x/(x+(1-x)/100), where x is the actual probability of JD Vance winning
for example, if you think Vance has an 0.2% chance of winning, this market should be at ~17%