
Will there be a notable book-burning event on a US college campus before 2030?
46
1kαΉ28582030
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be intentional. An accidental library fire doesn't count.
A single person burning a few of their own books doesn't count. Must involve several people and a large number of books, somewhere public or semi-public.
Only events after market creation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
5% chance
Summer of 2025: Major Unrest in the USA?
70% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
95% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
20% chance
[Metaculus] Will there be major civil unrest or rioting in America before 2031?
50% chance
Which year will the book-banning trend reverse?
Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?
10% chance
Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?
12% chance
Will a government sanctioned purge be introduced anywhere in the USA by 2100?
9% chance
Will the US have a revolution before 2100?