Will an unaligned AI or an aligned AI controlled by a malicious actor create a "wake-up call" for humanity on AI safety?
Plus
10
Ṁ1302050
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A "wake-up call" is an incident which makes the surviving humans on Earth realise that AI alignment is actually something that humanity should care about.
If no humans survive, it is not a wake-up call, it is the existential AI risk that we have been warning about.
So in other words, will an AI or group of AIs kill some number of people less than the total number of people on earth, or create some other kind of disaster, that makes people say "Holy shit! The AI risk people were right all along!"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
5% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2026?
1% chance
Will there be an offensive, ideologically motivated incident against an AI entity in 2024?
23% chance
Will a leading AI organization in the United States be the target of an anti-AI attack or protest by the end of 2024?
30% chance
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
35% chance
Conditional on AI alignment being solved, will governments or other entities be capable of enforcing use of aligned AIs?
37% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
73% chance
Will there be at least a "close call" with a powerful misaligned AI before 2100?
83% chance
Before 2050, will an AI system be shut down due to exhibiting power-seeking behavior?
66% chance
Will anyone commit violence in order to slow the progression of AI?
65% chance