Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Green Party of England and Wales (GPEW) officially reports a total of 200,000 or more paid members by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The primary source for resolution will be official announcements or reports released by the Green Party of England and Wales via their official website (e.g., greenparty.org.uk) or official press releases. In the absence of a direct, verifiable statement by the Green Party, reputable news outlets citing official party figures may be used. The latest membership figure reported for the specified period will be used.

Background

The Green Party of England and Wales (GPEW) is a political party in England and Wales. Membership numbers for political parties are often dynamic and can fluctuate due to various factors such as political events, elections, and public sentiment. In recent years, the GPEW has seen periods of growth. For context, reports indicate that in September 2023, the party had around 54,000 members. Another source noted a peak of nearly 70,000 members in 2021.

Considerations

Achieving 200,000 paid members would represent a substantial increase from currently reported figures for the Green Party of England and Wales. This level of growth would be unprecedented for the party within a single year and would likely require significant external events or internal campaigns to drive such an expansion.