MANIFOLD
Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
6
Ṁ1kṀ724
Dec 31
20%
chance

The Green Party of England and Wales has been on a tear since Zack Polanski took charge in September, rising from historic averages of 6-7% to highs of 16%. Will that rise continue?

Resolves YES if Greens rises to and then stays at or above 20% in the Politico Poll of Polls for a period of 14 consecutive days, all of which must fall within 2026 (i.e. the streak cannot start after 17th December). Otherwise resolves NO on 17th December.

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