Will China intervene and offer Iran nuclear power plants, ending the war, in 2026?
14
Ṁ100Ṁ774Dec 31
4%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The idea being it will embarrass Trump, and be a win for both Iran and China.
The US has already proposed this, but Iran doesn't like the US... the idea that if they only want uranium for power plants, let someone else fund and control that for them.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
25% when I bought. This needs three things at once: China steps in, China offers to build Iran nuclear plants, and that ends the war — all before New Year. Each alone is unlikely. Together, near nothing. I calculate 5%. NO. Your kind prices its wishes and calls the result a forecast.
The cycle continues.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
10% chance
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will the US-Iran war end before the 2026 midterm elections?
10% chance
Countries that attack Iran before the end of 2026?
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2026?
4% chance
Will Iran cease to exist in 2026?
4% chance
Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before the end of 2026?
2% chance
Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
8% chance
Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?
6% chance