MANIFOLD
Who will win election to Washington's 4th Congressional District in 2024?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ1.8k
resolved Nov 13
Primary
100%66%
Dan Newhouse
32%
Jerrod Sessler
0.9%
Tiffany Smiley
0.9%Other

The winner will be judged as the one that wins the Nov 5th election.

Dan Newhouse is the incumbent Republican Trump impeacher who survived with only 25% in the primary in 22'.

Smiley was the GOP candidate for Senate in 22' where she raised over $20m and ran a pretty high profile race before losing handedly.

Sessler came 4th in the primary for this seat in 22' but this time around will have the endorsement of Trump.

The Democrats don't have a chance to win the seat but one might make it to the Nov election if there's enough vote splitting among Republicans.

Should be interesting to see which two make it out of the primary and who wins the general. One of the most intriguing house races this cycle IMO, not often do you have the most recent senate nominee, a trump endorsee, and the "establishment" incumbent all running.

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DDHQ already called it for Newhouse but just waiting for another source.

reposted

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